The Monthly Barometer is an analytical and predictive monthly newsletter that distills into one page those macro issues relevant to time-starved decision-makers.
It has been in existence since 2007 and, to date, its track-record is impressive. It is written by a small research team and benefits from the regular input of several hundred key opinion-leaders. A great deal of intellectual and methodological rigour lies behind its compilation. However, its style remains straightforward to read and easy to digest.

The Monthly Barometer is endorsed by some of the world's best thinkers. To see why, please request a copy of the latest Monthly Barometer by contacting us:


We live in an era of mounting complexity and information overload, in which it is increasingly difficult to distinguish the signals from the noise. In such a context, trying to identify the most relevant analysis tends to resemble “drinking water from a fire hydrant”.
Our strength is to focus on reducing complexity by conveying a simple (but not simplistic) and succinct message.

In less than two minutes each month, readers are able to:

  1. grasp the complexity of the world;
  2. better connect the dots; and
  3. get a sense of where the world is heading.


Our subscribers include private investors, business executives, and leading opinion-makers, all of whose time is severely constrained.


In the coming weeks, “must-watch” issues include: (1) China, that remains at the epicentre of global economic and financial stress; (2) continued pressure on EM economies, and particularly their hard currency debt; (3) the impact of lower commodity prices on commodity exporters, with possible black-swan effects in Algeria, Nigeria and Central Asia; (4) whether US real wages will increase and US core CPI will continue to surprise on the upside, (5) the extent to which the commodity price shock will affect banks (with a commodity-driven financial crisis all too possible in EM), (6) the vast array of global geopolitical and societal risks. For real-time or in-depth analysis on any of these, and if you are interested in prediction markets to better forecast some of the risks, please contact us.