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Kenneth Rogoff
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  • GEOPOLITICS, Conflicts, US

    Daniel Russel, "A Historic Breakthrough or a Historic Blunder in Singapore?"

    Foreign Affairs (metered paywall) - 12 Jun 2018

    The former diplomat turned think-tanker ponders whether Kim Jong Un outwitted Trump at the Summit in Singapore (“a mesmerizing political theater”). The short response: the US President is correct in pointing out that he made history in meeting amicably with his North Korean adversary, but it is yet to be determined whether he made a historic breakthrough or a historic blunder. The article delves into the details of what progress each side can credibly claim to have achieved based on its goals coming into the meeting (reads in 6-8 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 15 June 2018

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  • ECONOMICS, Employment/unemployment, Technology, Innovation

    Neil Irwin, "If the Robots Come for Our Jobs, What Should the Government Do?"

    The New York Times - paywall - 12 Jun 2018

    We don’t know yet whether artificial intelligence, robotics and other technologies will make a large portion of today’s jobs obsolete, but they might! If they do, this will become the defining challenge of the decades ahead, demanding political attention. Some bold ideas, like a universal basic income, have gained traction in particular ideological circles. However, many less dramatic solutions might work too. This article reviews some of them, like work-sharing programs (reads in 6-8 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 15 June 2018

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  • ECONOMICS, Financial Markets

    Satyajit Das, "Scarce Liquidity Is a Growing Risk"

    Bloomberg - 12 Jun 2018

    The columnist argues that investors are unprepared for a foreseeable problem: the lack of liquidity that will make the fallout from the next financial crisis much worse. The current reality is this: outside of a few stocks, major currencies and some government securities that trade consistently in large volumes, few instruments are truly liquid. This article explains in simple, understandable and convincing terms why in a future crisis, a lack of liquidity will accelerate the effect of shocks and volatility (reads in 5-6 min).

    Published in Weekly selection 15 June 2018

    Please click here to read the article

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